Brady Allred

Preprints

  • Allred, B.W., S.E. McCord, T.J. Assal, B.T. Bestelmeyer, C.S. Boyd, A.C. Brooks, S.M. Cady, S.D. Fuhlendorf, S.A. Green, G.R. Harrison, E.R. Jensen, E.J. Kachergis, C.M. Mattilio, B.A. Mealor, D.E. Naugle, D. O’Leary, P.J. Olsoy, E.S. Peirce, J.R. Reinhardt, R.K. Shriver, J.T. Smith, J.D. Tack, A.M. Tanner, E.P. Tanner, D. Twidwell, N.P. Webb, and S.L. Morford. 2025. Estimating rangeland fractional cover and canopy gap size class with Sentinel-2 imagery. bioRxiv. doi: 10.1101/2025.03.13.643073 preprint - data

  • Carter, S., S. Morford, J. Tack, T. Lark, N. Uludere Aragon, B. Allred, D. Twidwell, and D. Naugle. 2025. Annual cultivated extent and agricultural land use expansion across the central grasslands of North America, 1996-2021. bioRxiv. doi: 10.1101/2025.03.18.643874 preprint

2025

  • Allred, B.W., S.E. McCord, and S.L. Morford. 2025. Canopy height model and NAIP imagery pairs across CONUS. Scientific Data 12:322. doi: 10.1038/s41597-025-04655-z article - preprint - data

2024

  • Morford, S.L., B.W. Allred, E.R. Jensen, J.D. Maestas, K.R. Mueller, C.L. Pacholski, J.T. Smith, J.D. Tack, K.N. Tackett, and D.E. Naugle. 2024. Mapping tree cover expansion in Montana, U.S.A. rangelands using high‐resolution historical aerial imagery. Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation 10:91–105. doi: 10.1002/rse2.357 article - preprint

2023

  • Smith, J.T., B.W. Allred, C.S. Boyd, K.W. Davies, A.R. Kleinhesselink, S.L. Morford, and D.E. Naugle. 2023. Fire needs annual grasses more than annual grasses need fire. Biological Conservation 286:110299. doi: 10.1016/j.biocon.2023.110299 article

  • Tack, J.D., J.T. Smith, K.E. Doherty, P.J. Donnelly, J.D. Maestas, B.W. Allred, J. Reinhardt, S.L. Morford, and D.E. Naugle. 2023. Regional context for balancing sagebrush- and woodland-dependent songbird needs with targeted pinyon-juniper management. Rangeland Ecology & Management 88:182–191. doi: 10.1016/j.rama.2023.03.006 article - preprint

  • Kleinhesselink, A.R., E.J. Kachergis, S.E. McCord, J. Shirley, N.R. Hupp, J. Walker, J.C. Carlson, S.L. Morford, M.O. Jones, J.T. Smith, B.W. Allred, and D.E. Naugle. 2023. Long-term trends in vegetation on Bureau of Land Management rangelands in the western United States. Rangeland Ecology & Management 87:1–12. doi: 10.1016/j.rama.2022.11.004 article

2022

  • Roberts, C.P., D.E. Naugle, B.W. Allred, V.M. Donovan, D.T. Fogarty, M.O. Jones, J.D. Maestas, A.C. Olsen, and D. Twidwell. 2022. Next-generation technologies unlock new possibilities to track rangeland productivity and quantify multi-scale conservation outcomes. Journal of Environmental Management 324:116359. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.116359 article

  • McMillan, N. A., S. D. Fuhlendorf, B. Luttbeg, L. E. Goodman, C. A. Davis, B. W. Allred, and R. G. Hamilton. 2022. Bison movements change with weather: Implications for their continued conservation in the Anthropocene. Ecology and Evolution 12:e9586. doi:10.1002/ece3.9586 article

  • Morford, S.L., B.W. Allred, D. Twidwell, M.O. Jones, J.D. Maestas, C.P. Roberts, and D.E. Naugle. 2022. Herbaceous production lost to tree encroachment in United States rangelands. Journal of Applied Ecology 59:2971–2982. doi: 10.1111/1365-2664.14288 article - preprint

  • Smith, J.T., B.W. Allred, C.S. Boyd, K.W. Davies, M.O. Jones, A.R. Kleinhesselink, J.D. Maestas, and D.E. Naugle. 2022. Where There’s Smoke, There’s Fuel: Dynamic Vegetation Data Improve Predictions of Wildfire Hazard in the Great Basin. Rangeland Ecology & Management. doi: 10.1016/j.rama.2022.07.005 article - preprint

  • Maestas, J.D., J.T. Smith, B.W. Allred, D.E. Naugle, M.O. Jones, C. O’Connor, C.S. Boyd, K.W. Davies, M.R. Crist, and A.C. Olsen. 2022. Using Dynamic, Fuels-Based Fire Probability Maps to Reduce Large Wildfires in the Great Basin. Rangeland Ecology & Management. doi: 10.1016/j.rama.2022.08.002 article

  • Roberts, C.P., D.R. Uden, C.R. Allen, D.G. Angeler, L.A. Powell, B.W. Allred, M.O. Jones, J.D. Maestas, and D. Twidwell. 2022. Tracking spatial regimes in animal communities: Implications for resilience-based management. Ecological Indicators 136:108567. doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.108567 article

  • Creutzburg, M.K., A.C. Olsen, M.A. Anthony, J.D. Maestas, J.B. Cupples, N.R. Vora, and B.W. Allred. 2022. A geographic strategy for cross-jurisdictional, proactive management of invasive annual grasses in Oregon. Rangelands. doi: 10.1016/j.rala.2021.12.007 article

  • Smith, J.T., B.W. Allred, C.S. Boyd, K.W. Davies, M.O. Jones, A.R. Kleinhesselink, J.D. Maestas, S.L. Morford, and D.E. Naugle. 2021. The elevational ascent and spread of exotic annual grass dominance in the Great Basin, USA. Diversity & Distributions 28:83–96. doi: 10.1111/ddi.13440 article - preprint

2021

  • Roberts, C.P., D.R. Uden, S.M. Cady, B. Allred, S. Fuhlendorf, M.O. Jones, J.D. Maestas, D. Naugle, A.C. Olsen, J. Smith, J. Tack, and D. Twidwell. 2021. Tracking spatial regimes as an early warning for a species of conservation concern. Ecological Applications. doi: 10.1002/eap.2480 article

  • Allred, B.W., M.K. Creutzburg, J.C. Carlson, C.J. Cole, C.M. Dovichin, M.C. Duniway, M.O. Jones, J.D. Maestas, D.E. Naugle, T.W. Nauman, G.S. Okin, M.C. Reeves, M. Rigge, S.L. Savage, D. Twidwell, D.R. Uden, and B. Zhou. 2021. Guiding principles for using satellite-derived maps in rangeland management. Rangelands. doi: 10.1016/j.rala.2021.09.004 article

  • Olsen, A.C., J.P. Severson, B.W. Allred, M.O. Jones, J.D. Maestas, D.E. Naugle, K.H. Yates, and C.A. Hagen. 2021. Reversing tree encroachment increases usable space for sage‐grouse during the breeding season. Wildlife Society Bulletin 45:488-497. doi: 10.1002/wsb.1214 article

  • Felton, A.J., R.K. Shriver, J.B. Bradford, K.N. Suding, B.W. Allred, and P.B. Adler. 2021. Biotic vs abiotic controls on temporal sensitivity of primary production to precipitation across North American drylands. The New Phytologist 231:2150–2161. doi: 10.1111/nph.17543 article

  • Jones, M.O., N.P. Robinson, D.E. Naugle, J.D. Maestas, M.C. Reeves, R.W. Lankston, and B.W. Allred. 2021. Annual and 16-Day rangeland production estimates for the western United States. Rangeland Ecology & Management 77:112–117. doi: 10.1016/j.rama.2021.04.003 article - preprint

  • Pastick, N.J., B.K. Wylie, M.B. Rigge, D. Dahal, S.P. Boyte, M.O. Jones, B.W. Allred, S. Parajuli, and Z. Wu. 2021. Rapid monitoring of the abundance and spread of exotic annual grasses in the western United States using remote sensing and machine learning. AGU Advances 2. doi: 10.1029/2020av000298 article

  • Scholtz, R., S.D. Fuhlendorf, D.R. Uden, B.W. Allred, M.O. Jones, D.E. Naugle, and D. Twidwell. 2021. Challenges of brush management treatment effectiveness in southern Great Plains, United States. Rangeland Ecology & Management 77:57–65. doi: 10.1016/j.rama.2021.03.007 article

  • Allred, B.W., B.T. Bestelmeyer, C.S. Boyd, C. Brown, K.W. Davies, M.C. Duniway, L.M. Ellsworth, T.A. Erickson, S.D. Fuhlendorf, T.V. Griffiths, V. Jansen, M.O. Jones, J. Karl, A. Knight, J.D. Maestas, J.J. Maynard, S.E. McCord, D.E. Naugle, H.D. Starns, D. Twidwell, and D.R. Uden. 2021. Improving Landsat predictions of rangeland fractional cover with multitask learning and uncertainty. Methods in Ecology and Evolution. doi: 10.1111/2041-210x.13564 article - preprint

  • McMillan, N.A., S.D. Fuhlendorf, B. Luttbeg, L.E. Goodman, C.A. Davis, B.W. Allred, R.G. Hamilton. 2020. Are bison movements dependent on season and time of day? Investigating movement across two complex grasslands. Ecosphere 12:e03317. doi: 10.1002/ecs2.3317 article

2020

  • Fogarty, D.T., C.P. Roberts, D.R. Uden, V.M. Donovan, C.R. Allen, D.E. Naugle, M.O. Jones, B.W. Allred, and D. Twidwell. 2020. Woody plant encroachment and the sustainability of priority conservation areas. Sustainability 12:8321. doi: 10.3390/su12208321 article

  • Jones, M.O., D.E. Naugle, D. Twidwell, D.R. Uden, J.D. Maestas, and B.W. Allred. 2020. Beyond inventories: emergence of a new era in rangeland monitoring. Rangeland Ecology & Management 73:577-583. doi: 10.1016/j.rama.2020.06.009 article

  • Donovan, V.M., D. Twidwell, D.R. Uden, T. Tadesse, B.D. Wardlow, C.H. Bielski, M.O. Jones, B.W. Allred, D.E. Naugle, and C.R. Allen. 2020. Resilience to large, “catastrophic” wildfires in North America’s grassland biome. Earth’s Future 8:8. doi: 10.1029/2020EF001487 article

  • Smith, J.T., B.W. Allred, C.S. Boyd, J.C. Carlson, K.W. Davies, C.A. Hagen, D.E. Naugle, A.C. Olsen, and J.D. Tack. 2020. Are sage‐grouse fine‐scale specialists or shrub‐steppe generalists? The Journal of Wildlife Management 84:759–774. doi: 10.1002/jwmg.21837 article

  • Reinhardt, J.R., S. Filippelli, M. Falkowski, B. Allred, J.D. Maestas, J.C. Carlson, and D.E. Naugle. 2020. Quantifying pinyon-juniper reduction within North America’s sagebrush ecosystem. Rangeland Ecology & Management 73:420–432. doi: 10.1016/j.rama.2020.01.002 article

  • Parks, S.A., C. Carroll, S.Z. Dobrowski, and B.W. Allred. 2020. Human land uses reduce climate connectivity across North America. Global Change Biology 26:2944–2955. doi: 10.1111/gcb.15009 article

  • Naugle, D.E., B.W. Allred, M.O. Jones, D. Twidwell, and J.D. Maestas. 2020. Coproducing science to inform working lands: The next frontier in nature conservation. Bioscience 70:90–96. doi: 10.1093/biosci/biz144 article

2019

  • Hoylman, Z.H., K.G. Jencso, J. Hu, Z.A. Holden, B. Allred, S. Dobrowski, N. Robinson, J.T. Martin, D. Affleck, and C. Seielstad. 2019. The topographic signature of ecosystem climate sensitivity in the western United States. Geophysical Research Letters 46:14508–14520. doi: 10.1029/2019GL085546 article

  • Uden, D., D. Twidwell, C. Allen, M. Jones, D. Naugle, J. Maestas, and B. Allred. 2019. Spatial imaging and screening for regime shifts. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution 7:407. doi: 10.3389/fevo.2019.00407 article

  • Naugle, D.E., J.D. Maestas, B.W. Allred, C.A. Hagen, M.O. Jones, M.J. Falkowski, B. Randall, and C.A. Rewa. 2019. CEAP quantifies conservation outcomes for wildlife and people on western grazing lands. Rangelands. doi: 10.1016/j.rala.2019.07.004 article

  • Robinson, N.P., M.O. Jones, A. Moreno, T.A. Erickson, D.E. Naugle, and B.W. Allred. 2019. Rangeland productivity partitioned to sub-pixel plant functional types. Remote Sensing 11:1427. doi: 10.3390/rs11121427 article

  • Donnelly, J.P., D.E. Naugle, D.P. Collins, B.D. Dugger, B.W. Allred, J.D. Tack, and V.J. Dreitz. 2019. Synchronizing conservation to seasonal wetland hydrology and waterfowl migration in semi-arid landscapes. Ecosphere 10:e02758. doi: 10.1002/ecs2.2758 article

  • Chambers, J.C., M.L. Brooks, M.J. Germino, J.D. Maestas, D.I. Board, M.O. Jones, B.W. Allred. 2019. Operationalizing Resilience and Resistance Concepts to Address Invasive Grass/Fire Cycles. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution 7:185. doi: 10.3389/fevo.2019.00185 article

  • Maestas, J.D., C.A. Hagen, J.T. Smith, J.D. Tack, B.W. Allred, T. Griffiths, C.J. Bishop, K.M. Stewart, and D.E. Naugle. 2019. Mule deer juniper use is an unreliable indicator of habitat quality: Comments on Coe et al. (2018). The Journal of Wildlife Management 83:755–761 doi: 10.1002/jwmg.21614 article

  • Levesque M., L. Andreu-Hayles, W.K. Smith, A.P. Williams, M.L. Hobi, B.W. Allred, N. Pederson. 2019. Tree-ring isotopes reflect satellite-based net primary productivity estimates at the biome scale. Nature Communications 10:742. doi: 10.1038/s41467-019-08634-y article

  • Robinson, N.P., B.W. Allred, D.E. Naugle, and M.O. Jones. 2019. Patterns of rangeland productivity and land ownership: Implications for conservation and management. Ecological Applications 29:e01862. doi: 10.1002/eap.1862 article

  • Wonkka, C.L., D. Twidwell, B.W. Allred, C.H. Bielski, V.M. Donovan, C.P. Roberts, and S.D. Fuhlendorf. 2019. Rangeland vulnerability to state transition under global climate change. Climatic change 153:59–78. doi: 10.1007/s10584-018-02365-7 article

  • Silverman, N.L., B.W Allred, J.P. Donnelly, T. Chapman, J.D. Maestas, J. Wheaton, J. White, and D.E. Naugle. 2019. Low-tech riparian and wet meadow restoration increases vegetation productivity and resilience across semi-arid rangelands. Restoration Ecology 27:269–278. doi: 10.1111/rec.12869 article

2018

  • Donnelly, J.P., B.W. Allred, D. Perret, N.L. Silverman, J.D. Tack, V.J. Dreitz, J.D. Maestas, and D.E. Naugle. 2018. Seasonal drought in North America’s sagebrush biome structures dynamic mesic resources for sage‐grouse. Ecology and Evolution 8:12492–12505. doi: 10.1002/ece3.4614 article

  • Jones, M.O., B.W. Allred, D.E. Naugle, J.D. Maestas, J.P. Donnelly, L.J. Metz, J. Karl, R. Smith, B. Bestelmeyer, C. Boyd, J.D. Kerby, J.D. McIver. 2018. Innovation in rangeland monitoring: annual, 30m, plant functional type percent cover maps for US rangelands, 1984–2017. Ecosphere 9:e02430. doi: 10.1002/ecs2.2430 article

  • Moreno-Martínez, Á., G. Camps-Valls, J. Kattge, N. Robinson, M. Reichstein, P. van Bodegom, K. Kramer, J. H. C. Cornelissen, P. Reich, M. Bahn, Ü. Niinemets, J. Peñuelas, J. M. Craine, B. E. L. Cerabolini, V. Minden, D. C. Laughlin, L. Sack, B. Allred, C. Baraloto, C. Byun, N. A. Soudzilovskaia, and S. W. Running. 2018. A methodology to derive global maps of leaf traits using remote sensing and climate data. Remote Sensing of Environment 218:69–88. doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2018.09.006 article

  • Roberts, C.P., D. Twidwell, J.L. Burnett, V.M. Donovan, C.L. Wonkka, C.L. Bielski, A.S. Garmestani, D.G. Angeler, T. Eason, B.W. Allred, M.O. Jones, D.E. Naugle, S.M. Sundstrom, and C.R. Allen. 2018. Early Warnings for State Transitions. Rangeland Ecology & Management 71:659–670. doi:10.1016/j.rama.2018.04.012 article

  • Leverkus, S.E.R., S.D. Fuhlendorf, M. Geertsema, B.W. Allred, M. Gregory, A.R. Bevington, D.M. Engle, and J.D. Scasta. 2018. Resource Selection of Free-ranging Horses Influenced by Fire in Northern Canada. Human–Wildlife Interactions 12:10 article

  • Robinson, N.P., B.W Allred, W.K. Smith, M.O. Jones, A. Moreno, T.A. Erickson, D.E. Naugle, and S.W. Running. 2018. Terrestrial primary production for the conterminous United States derived from Landsat 30 m and MODIS 250 m. Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation 4:264-280. doi:10.1002/rse2.74 article - data

  • Bielski, C.H., D. Twidwell, S.D. Fuhlendorf, C.L. Wonkka, B.W Allred, T.E. Ochsner, E.S. Krueger, J.D. Carlson, and D.M. Engle. 2018. Pyric herbivory, scales of heterogeneity, and drought. Functional Ecology 32:1599–1608. doi: 10.1111/1365-2435.13083 article

  • Jones, M.O., S.W. Running, J.S. Kimball, N.P. Robinson, and B.W. Allred. 2018. Terrestrial primary productivity indicators for inclusion in the National Climate Indicators System. Climatic Change. doi: 10.1007/s10584-018-2155-9 article

  • Smith, J.T., J.D. Tack, K.E. Doherty, B.W Allred, J.D. Maestas, L.I. Berkeley, S. Dettenmaier, T.A. Messmer, D.E. Naugle. 2018. Phenology largely explains taller grass at successful nests in greater sage-grouse. Ecology and Evolution 8:356-364. doi: 10.1002/ece3.3679 article

  • Powell, J. B. Martin, V.J. Drietz, and B.W Allred. 2018. Grazing preferences and vegetation feedbacks of the fire-grazing interaction in the Northern Great Plains. Rangeland Ecology & Management 71:45-52. doi: 10.1016/j.rama.2017.09.003 article

2017

  • Robinson, N.P., B.W Allred, M.O. Jones, A. Moreno, J.S. Kimball, D.E. Naugle, T.A. Erickson, and A.D. Richardson. 2017. A dynamic Landsat derived normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) product for the conterminous United States. Remote Sensing 9:863. doi: 10.3390/rs9080863 article

  • Reinhardt, J.R., D.E. Naugle, J.D. Maestas, B.W Allred, J. Evans, and M. Falkowski. 2017. Next-generation restoration for sage-grouse: a framework for visualizing local conifer cuts within a landscape context. Ecosphere 8:e01888. doi: 10.1002/ecs2.1888 article

  • Donnelly, J.P., J.D. Tack, K.E. Doherty, D.E. Naugle, B.W Allred, and V.J. Dreitz. 2017. Extending conifer removal and landscape protection strategies from sage-grouse to songbirds, a range-wide assessment. Rangeland Ecology & Management 70:95-105. doi: 10.1016/j.rama.2016.10.009 article

2016

  • Scasta, J.D., E.T. Thacker, T.J. Hovick, D.M. Engle, B.W Allred, S.D. Fuhlendorf, and J.R. Weir. 2016. Patch-burn grazing (PBG) as a livestock management alternative for fire-prone ecosystems of North America. Renewable Agriculture and Food Systems 31:550-567. doi: 10.1017/S1742170515000411 article

  • Hovick, T.J., B.W Allred, D.A. McGranahan, M.W. Palmer, R.D. Elmore, and S.D. Fuhlendorf. 2016. Informing conservation by identifying range shift patterns across breeding habitats and migration strategies. Biodiversity and Conservation 25:345-356. doi: 10.1007/s10531-016-1053-6 article

  • West, A.L., C.B. Zou, E. Stebler, S.D. Fuhlendorf, and B.W Allred. 2016. Pyric-herbivory and hydrological responses in tallgrass prairie. Rangeland Ecology & Management 69:20-27. doi: 10.1016/j.rama.2015.10.004 article

2015

  • Hovick, T.J., B.W Allred, R.D. Elmore, S.D. Fuhlendorf, R.G. Hamilton, and A. Breland. 2015. Dynamic disturbance processes create dynamic lek site selection in a prairie grouse. PloS one 10:e0137882. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0137882 article

  • Winter, S.L., B.W Allred, K.R. Hickman, and S.D. Fuhlendorf. 2015. Tallgrass prairie vegetation responses to spring fires and bison grazing. The Southwestern Naturalist 60:30-35. doi: 10.1894/FMO-19.1 article

  • Allred, B.W, W.K. Smith, D. Twidwell, J.H. Haggerty, S.W. Running, D.E. Naugle, and S.D. Fuhlendorf. 2015. Ecosystem services lost to oil and gas in North America. Science 348:401–402 doi: 10.1126/science.aaa4785 article

2014

  • Allred, B.W, D. Twidwell, and S.D. Fuhlendorf. 2014. The interaction of climate change, land cover, and political representation in the USA. Ecosphere 5:159 doi: 10.1890/ES14-00220.1 article

  • Twidwell, D., B.W. Allred, and S.D. Fuhlendorf. 2014. Summary of a national-scale assessment of the Ecological Site Description (ESD) database. Rangelands 36:13–17 doi: 10.2111/Rangelands-D-14-00029.1 article

  • Allred, B.W, J.D. Scasta, T.J. Hovick, S.D. Fuhlendorf, and R.G. Hamilton. 2014. Spatial heterogeneity stabilizes livestock productivity in a changing climate. Agriculture, Ecosystems, and Environment 193:37-41 doi: 10.1016/j.agee.2014.04.020 article

  • Hovick, T.J., R.D. Elmore, B.W Allred, S.D. Fuhlendorf, and D.K. Dahlgren. 2014. Landscapes as a moderator of thermal extremes: a case study from an imperiled grouse. Ecosphere 5:art35 doi: 10.1890/ES13-00340.1 article

2013

  • Twidwell, D., B.W Allred, and S.D. Fuhlendorf. 2013. National-scale assessment of ecological content in the world’s largest land management framework. Ecosphere 4:art94 doi: 10.1890/ES13-00124.1 article

  • Allred, B.W, S.D. Fuhlendorf, T.J. Hovick, R.D. Elmore, D.M. Engle, and A. Joern. 2013. Conservation implications of native and introduced ungulates in a changing climate. Global Change Biology 19:1875-1883 doi: 10.1111/gcb.12183 article

2012

  • Allred, B.W, S.D. Fuhlendorf, F.E. Smeins, and C.A. Taylor. 2012. Herbivore species and grazing intensity regulate community composition and an encroaching woody plant in semi-arid rangeland. Basic and Applied Ecology 13:149-158 doi: 10.1016/j.baae.2012.02.007 article

2011

  • Allred, B.W, S.D. Fuhlendorf, D.M. Engle, and R.D. Elmore. 2011. Ungulate preference for burned patches reveals strength of fire-grazing interaction. Ecology and Evolution 1:132-144 doi: 10.1002/ece3.12 article

  • Allred, B.W, S.D. Fuhlendorf, and R.G. Hamilton. 2011. The role of herbivores in Great Plains conservation: comparative ecology of bison and cattle. Ecosphere 2:art26 doi: 10.1890/ES10-00152.1 article

2010

  • Allred, B.W, S.D. Fuhlendorf, T.A. Monaco, and R.E. Will. 2010. Morphological and physiological traits in the success of the invasive plant Lespedeza cuneata. Biological Invasions 12:739-749 doi: 10.1007/s10530-009-9476-6 article

2008

  • Allred, B.W and K.A. Snyder. 2008. Ecophysiological responses of Chihuahuan desert grasses to fire. Journal of Arid Environments 72:1989-1996 doi: 10.1016/j.jaridenv.2008.06.008 article